Will the current Israel-Hamas conflict last ten years, as some senior Israeli officials warned during Biden's trip?
US PoliticsGeopoliticsOne-OffMiddle East7yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86.1%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleOct 20, 23, 3:51 PM UTCOct 21, 33, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Israeli Hamas conflict be described as a genocide in 10 years(2034)
Manifold MarketsWill Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?
Manifold MarketsWill this app be around in ten years?
Manifold MarketsIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
FutuurIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by which date?
PolymarketRules
Article here
- [image]Resolves NO if the current Israel-Hamas conflict ends before ten years, or YES if it does.
- Resolves to Wikipedia's official start/end dates for the conflict in ambiguous cases.
