Will the 2026 Time Person of the Year be a single person?
US PoliticsOne-OffHealth & MedicineRussia / Ukraine1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 52.9%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Nov 9, 26, 10:39 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if TIME magazine names exactly one individual human being as the 2026 "Person of the Year" upon its official announcement.
- This market resolves to NO if TIME chooses any of the following for the 2026 title:
- Multiple named individuals jointly (e.g., 2020's Joe Biden and Kamala Harris).
- A group or collective archetype (e.g., 2017's "The Silence Breakers", 2014's "The Ebola Fighters", 2011's "The Protester").
- An object, technology, or abstract concept (e.g., 1982's "The Computer", 2006's "You").