Time's Person of the Year for 2026 (mirror)
3.0 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffAwardsAISociety & Culture2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastZohran Mamdani 31%-3.0ptLeader of 30 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-19.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleOct 31, 26, 9:27 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiWill Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human?
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Manifold MarketsWill AI be Time's person of the year in 2025 OR 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?
Manifold MarketsTIME Person of the Year 2026
FutuurRules
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtime/times-person-of-the-year/kxtime-26
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If (answer) is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from TIME.
- This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
