Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 69%
Forecasters
35
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleNov 6, 24, 3:41 PM UTCJul 14, 28, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRules
will resolve after a peace agreement that gives up some territory (and then in a few years a Russian puppet is installed) or Total surrender