Will Republicans win a Majority of Toss up house seats in 2026? [Sabato's Crystal Ball]
PoliticsOne-Off2026 US MidtermsUS PoliticsElection4dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 57.6%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Oct 14, 26, 2:41 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Resolves yes if Republicans win a majority of the seats listed in the "Toss up" columns on election day.
- If tie settles 50:50.
- https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2026-house/
- [link preview]Update 2026-10-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If there are zero "Toss up" seats on election day, the market will resolve using the last available data with toss-up seats.
