Will Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:39 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Democrats 68.1%+1.0ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Democrats 68.1%+1.0ptForecasters
106
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+8.6 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleFeb 13, 24, 5:07 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
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