Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the Senate in the 2026 mid-term election
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 68%
Forecasters
37
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleMar 12, 26, 6:47 AM UTCDec 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill President Trump be in office after November 3, 2027 (one year after the mid-term election)?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republicans maintain a majority in the senate after the midterms
Manifold MarketsIf X is true, will Democrats get a majority in the Senate in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExRules
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Democrats win a majority of the 100 Senate seats following elections in 2026.
- The Democrats would need 51 seats to control the chamber.
- If seat >= 51 resolve as YES
- If seat < 51 resolve as NO
- If the election is cancelled resolve as NO
