Will President Trump be in office after November 3, 2027 (one year after the mid-term election)?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastIn Office 82.9%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJul 15, 26, 2:19 PM UTCNov 4, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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PredictItRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the official status of Donald Trump on November 4, 2027, at 12:00 AM Eastern Time (ET).
- Exactly one of the following options will resolve YES, and all other options will resolve NO:
- the named outcome: Donald Trump is the sitting President of the United States.
- the named outcome: Donald Trump is no longer the named outcome, and his departure was caused by his death.
- the named outcome: Donald Trump is no longer the named outcome, and his departure was due to conviction following impeachment by the Senate or permanent removal via Section 4 of the 25th Amendment.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will President Trump be in office after November 3, 2027 (one year after the mid-term election)??
- Manifold Markets prices In Office at 83% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will President Trump be in office after November 3, 2027 (one year after the mid-term election)? resolve?
- Will President Trump be in office after November 3, 2027 (one year after the mid-term election)? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2027.
- How is Will President Trump be in office after November 3, 2027 (one year after the mid-term election)? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria