Things named after Trump or named by Trump after America are renamed during the first year of Trump out of office?
One-OffUS PoliticsPoliticsAI3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastTrump & Kennedy Center / Kennedy Center 88.9%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
22
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleAug 27, 26, 6:58 PM UTCJan 20, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope be renamed before the end of Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsGulf of America is renamed again by mid 2035 (in Google maps)
Manifold MarketsInternment Camps in Trump’s America?
Manifold MarketsU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
PolymarketWill the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
KalshiWill an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?
KalshiRules
Things don't have to renamed back to the prior name, the "Trump" portion just has to be removed.
- Renaming but "Trump" stays in the name doesn't count.
- Please add your options!
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $808.4K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $28.3M
- 24h Vol
- $342.3K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.2%
- Marco Rubio20.2%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
- 24h Vol
- $338.6K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Things named after Trump or named by Trump after America are renamed during the first year of Trump out of office??
- Manifold Markets prices Trump & Kennedy Center / Kennedy Center at 89% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Things named after Trump or named by Trump after America are renamed during the first year of Trump out of office? resolve?
- Things named after Trump or named by Trump after America are renamed during the first year of Trump out of office? is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2030.
- How is Things named after Trump or named by Trump after America are renamed during the first year of Trump out of office? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Things don't have to renamed back to the prior name, the "Trump" portion just has to be removed.