If X is true, will Democrats get a majority in the Senate in 2026?
28.2 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics13d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastDonald Trump is not president for the midterms 75.2%+28.2ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
31
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+28.2 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleSep 21, 25, 9:05 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRules
Resolves YES for every option that happens if Democrats win a Senate majority in 2026, NO for every option that happens if they don't, and N/A for every option that doesn't happen.
