Will Lula's 3rd term in Brazil have above-average (>75%) congressional support?
PoliticsYearlyElectionLatin America2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 56.2%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleNov 12, 22, 5:42 PM UTCJan 2, 27, 2:59 AM UTC
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FutuurRules
Considering the latest account of support in Brazilian Chamber of Deputies according to Estadão's "Basômetro" when presidential term comes to an end - either on January 1st, 2027, as the electoral calendar dictates; or before, if there is an impeachment, resignation etc.
- Resolves as YES if the average congressional support considering the full term is above that, or NO otherwise.
