Will Joe Biden die before the 2028 presidential election (Nov. 7 2028)?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection12d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:41 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 75.7%
Forecasters
46
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJan 24, 25, 2:14 AM UTCNov 8, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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