What will Trump's net approval be in the Silver Bulletin average on Election Day (Nov 3, 2026)?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection11d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast-25.9 to -24.0 21.7%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleOct 8, 26, 3:24 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves to the bucket containing Donald Trump's net approval rating (approve minus disapprove) in the Silver Bulletin presidential approval average for Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (US midterm Election Day).
- Source: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
- On Oct 8, 2026 it showed net -21.9, a few days after an all-time low of -23.5.
- The value used is the average dated Nov 3, 2026, as shown by Silver Bulletin (chart, table or text).
- If several updates are published for that date, the last one shown by Nov 5, 2026 counts.
- If no Nov 3 value is published, the most recent value dated before Nov 3 is used.
