Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 61.1%
Forecasters
38
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleAug 1, 24, 8:26 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
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ForecastExWho will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Party's candidate is officially declared the winner of the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election by the U.S. Electoral College and certified by Congress, as verified by the U.S. Federal Election Commission (FEC) or another authorized government body.
- If the Democratic candidate is not declared the winner, it will resolve to "No."
