Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (98.8%)
Resolved: Oct 24, 2026, 10:50 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 12:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes98.8%
No1.2000000000000028%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Barack Obama participate in a rally for Abdul El Sayed?
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KalshiRules
Via video link or appearance at an event for Abdul El Sayed will count.
- Must be a public event, attending a closed door fundraiser wouldn’t count for example.
- Resolves no when polls close on election day 2026 if it hasn’t happened by then.