Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 74.4%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 12, 26, 4:29 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 8:15 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Via video link or appearance at an event for Abdul El Sayed will count.
- Must be a public event, attending a closed door fundraiser wouldn’t count for example.
- Resolves no when polls close on election day 2026 if it hasn’t happened by then.
- (Identical market to: source market)
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Barack Obama participate in a rally for Abdul El Sayed??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 74% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Barack Obama participate in a rally for Abdul El Sayed? resolve?
- Will Barack Obama participate in a rally for Abdul El Sayed? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.
- How is Will Barack Obama participate in a rally for Abdul El Sayed? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Via video link or appearance at an event for Abdul El Sayed will count.