Which Senate candidates will Barack Obama rally for in the 2026 Midterms?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms9d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAbdul El-Sayed (Michigan) 100%Leader of 13 outcomes
Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+26.8 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Oct 5, 26, 5:58 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if Barack Obama appears in person at a campaign rally/event for the listed senate candidate, virtual appearances don’t count.
- Must be a public or televised event, a closed door fundraiser wouldn’t count.
- Each answer resolves independently
- Both Obama and the candidate are physically present at the campaign event/rally
- Joint events with other candidates count, such as a rally to support a slate of candidates.
- For example, if there is rally for ‘The Ohio Democratic Slate’ as long as Obama and Sherrod Brown are present, it would resolve yes.