KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Oakland 93%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$837.1
Liquidity
$2.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 16, 26, 9:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiAbdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will Abdul El Sayed and Mike rogers debate?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate general election in the named outcome County, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Michigan Secretary of State
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate general election in Eaton County, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate general election in Muskegon County, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate general election in Saginaw County, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Politics
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Michigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win??
- Kalshi prices Oakland at 93% as of September 18, 2026.
- When does Michigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win? resolve?
- Michigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is Michigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate general election in the named outcome County, then the market resolves to Yes.