KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
San Bernardino 67%+52.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4.3K
Liquidity
$9K
Medium liquiditySpread
31.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 16, 26, 9:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiSteve Hilton OR Spencer Pratt win?
Manifold MarketsWill Steve Hilton win the California general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastEx2026 California Governor Race
Robinhood (Rothera)Rules
If Steve Hilton wins the 2026 California gubernatorial general election in the named outcome County, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:California Secretary of StateSan Joaquin County Registrar of VotersOrange County Registrar of VotersRiverside County Registrar of VotersSan Bernardino County Registrar of VotersSan Luis Obispo County Clerk-Recorder-Registrar
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If Steve Hilton wins the 2026 California gubernatorial general election in Orange County, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Steve Hilton wins the 2026 California gubernatorial general election in Riverside County, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Politics
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for California Governor: which counties will Steve Hilton win??
- Kalshi prices San Bernardino at 67% as of September 18, 2026.
- When does California Governor: which counties will Steve Hilton win? resolve?
- California Governor: which counties will Steve Hilton win? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is California Governor: which counties will Steve Hilton win? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Steve Hilton wins the 2026 California gubernatorial general election in the named outcome County, then the market resolves to Yes.