Will an official manifold account make markets for every state in every presidential election up to 2040

PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics Election3mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 58.2%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 16 hours ago

Stale

Sep 7, 26, 6:39 AM UTCDec 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

Resolves Yes if an official manifold account has markets for 2028,2032,2036 and 2040 presidential election, for every state,

And this must happen before eoy 2026 to resolve this market yes.

Report a data issue with this market

Will an official manifold account make markets for every state in every presidential election up to 2040

PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics Election3mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 58.2%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 16 hours ago

Stale

Sep 7, 26, 6:39 AM UTCDec 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

By when will Amazon Prime Air (drone delivery) be available in every state?

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Will The Democrats Win Every Presidential Election from 2028 to 2040?

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Will Donald Trump have been the Republican nominee in every presidential election from 2016 until his death?

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Presidential Election Winner 2028

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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

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Which party will win the U.S. House?

Kalshi

Rules

Resolves Yes if an official manifold account has markets for 2028,2032,2036 and 2040 presidential election, for every state,

And this must happen before eoy 2026 to resolve this market yes.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will an official manifold account make markets for every state in every presidential election up to 2040?: Manifold Markets prices No at 58% as of September 8, 2026.
When does Will an official manifold account make markets for every state in every presidential election up to 2040 resolve?: Will an official manifold account make markets for every state in every presidential election up to 2040 is scheduled to resolve on December 30, 2026.
How is Will an official manifold account make markets for every state in every presidential election up to 2040 settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves Yes if an official manifold account has markets for 2028,2032,2036 and 2040 presidential election, for every state,

Will an official manifold account make markets for every state in every presidential election up to 2040

Will an official manifold account make markets for every state in every presidential election up to 2040

Frequently asked questions

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