Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastBefore 2033 87%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJun 11, 26, 9:51 PM UTCJan 1, 33, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Uber Eats First Zipline Drone Delivery by which date?
PolymarketWill an official manifold account make markets for every state in every presidential election up to 2040
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRules
https://www.amazon.com/Prime-Air-Drone-Delivery/b?ie=UTF8&node=206533607011
- [image]Update 2026-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Every state" explicitly includes Alaska and Hawaii.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- Next James Bond actor?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for By when will Amazon Prime Air (drone delivery) be available in every state??
- Manifold Markets prices Before 2033 at 87% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does By when will Amazon Prime Air (drone delivery) be available in every state? resolve?
- By when will Amazon Prime Air (drone delivery) be available in every state? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2033.
- How is By when will Amazon Prime Air (drone delivery) be available in every state? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://www.amazon.com/Prime-Air-Drone-Delivery/b?ie=UTF8&node=206533607011