Will The Democrats Win Every Presidential Election from 2028 to 2040?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection14y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 83.5%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleMay 29, 26, 7:47 PM UTCDec 31, 40, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Democrats win every US House election in 2026 in Colorado?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump have been the Republican nominee in every presidential election from 2016 until his death?
Manifold MarketsWill an official manifold account make markets for every state in every presidential election up to 2040
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate winner?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWho will control the House?
KalshiRules
Resolves yes if the Democrats win the electoral vote in the 2028, 2032, 2036, and 2040 Presidential elections.
- Resolves no as soon as a non-Democrat wins any of these elections.
- In the unlikely event that a candidate wins the majority of the electoral vote but isn't inaugurated due to faithless electors or other post-election shenanigans, the original electoral vote winner is counted as having "won." If no candidate wins a majority of the electoral vote and it goes to the House, the winner in the House is considered to have won.
