Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 68.2%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 12, 26, 9:53 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 10:49 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?
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KalshiMichigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
KalshiRules
Abdul El-Sayed said in May he would beat Mike Rogers by 7.
- This question resolves yes if Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race by greater than or equal to 7 points.
- It resolves no otherwise.
- I will use the certified results as ground truth, but I will probably resolve this the day after the election based on the New York Times results page if the resolution is obvious.
- I may trade on this market.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 68% as of September 18, 2026.
- When does Will Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more? resolve?
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.
- How is Will Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Abdul El-Sayed said in May he would beat Mike Rogers by 7.