What are the current odds for What percentage of the Black vote will Abdul El-Sayed get??

Manifold Markets prices 83-84% at 19.7% as of October 31, 2026.

What percentage of the Black vote will Abdul El-Sayed get?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

83-84% 19.7%

Leader of 11 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+0.1 pts

Market data

Updated 6 hours ago

Stale

Oct 15, 26, 9:46 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 9:43 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolves according to the 2026 CNN Exit Poll(Race>Black) for the 2026 Michigan Senate election.

If there is no CNN exit poll, resolves to the Edison exit poll.
If there is no Edison exit poll, resolves according to NBC exit polls.
N/a if none of those have an exit poll.
In 2024, Kamala Harris recieved 85% of the black vote and Elissa Slotkin got 83%l according to the CNN exit poll.Exit poll results 2024 | CNN Politics