Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 51.8%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 3, 26, 2:53 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Abdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?
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Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRules
Resolves YES if Abdul El Sayed has a winning margin of 100,000 votes or more in the 2026 Michigan Senate election.
- Resolves no if he loses, or wins by 99,999 votes or less
