Will a third-party or independent candidate win any state in the 2024 or 2028 US presidential elections?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.6%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Dec 12, 22, 3:25 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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