Current community forecast
Yes 60%
Yes 60%Forecasters
39
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 32 minutes ago
Feb 21, 24, 1:25 AM UTCNov 7, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will unemployment rate in the US reach 10% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic Party nominate a female presidential candidate in the 2028 US Presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill a third-party or independent candidate win any state in the 2024 or 2028 US presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWinner of the next US Presidential Election
FutuurRules
Resolves YES if the inflation rate is announced to be 6% or higher on any given month between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections in the United States, inclusive of the two months when the elections happen.
- Resolves NO otherwise, after the CPI data was made public for the month of the 2028 presidential election.
- Will not wait for corrections.
- The yearly inflation rate refers to the consumer price index (CPI) inflation rate as announced on the US Bureau of Labor Statistics website.
- https://www.bls.gov/cpi/
- May resolve N/A if an event makes it clear there will be no presidential election in 2024 or 2028.
