Will the Democratic Party nominate a female presidential candidate in the 2028 US Presidential elections?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the Democratic Party nominate a female presidential candidate in the 2028 US Presidential elections??

Manifold Markets prices No at 71% as of October 19, 2026.

When does Will the Democratic Party nominate a female presidential candidate in the 2028 US Presidential elections? resolve?

Will the Democratic Party nominate a female presidential candidate in the 2028 US Presidential elections? is scheduled to resolve on August 30, 2028.

How is Will the Democratic Party nominate a female presidential candidate in the 2028 US Presidential elections? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves N/A if Trump installs himself as emperor for life, or the election does not happen as scheduled for whatever reason

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KALSHI

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

• Gavin Newsom+1.0pt15.5%
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13.5%
• Jon Ossoff13.5%

+49 more outcomes

Total Vol

$243.3M

24h Vol

$1.8M

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro-3.5pt76.2%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+4.0pt23.8%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$188.2M

24h Vol

$1M

POLYMARKET

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

• J.D. Vance-3.5pt44%
• Marco Rubio+1.4pt15%
• Ron DeSantis+1.1pt4%

+40 more outcomes

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+2.0pt63.5%
• D-House, R-Senate28.5%
• Republicans sweep10.5%

POLYMARKET

Next French Presidential Election

• Marine Le Pen-1.4pt45.2%
• Édouard Philippe-1.0pt18.3%
• David Lisnard-0.1pt11.5%

+42 more outcomes

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico-1.0pt61.5%
• Ken Paxton-1.0pt38.5%

Total Vol

$30.6M

24h Vol

$628.9K

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