Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96.8%
Forecasters
27
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleJul 5, 25, 9:36 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if a candidate who is neither a Democrat or a Republican, and is supported by Elon Musk, is elected to the US Senate or House of Representatives by the end of 2026.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026? resolve?
- Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if a candidate who is neither a Democrat or a Republican, and is supported by Elon Musk, is elected to the US Senate or House of Representatives by the end of 2026.