Will any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?
One-OffPoliticsElection2mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 91.3%
No 91.3%Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$1.3K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 42 minutes ago
Jul 17, 25, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
America party candidate wins any election in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAny of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026
Manifold MarketsAny of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
KalshiWill any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?
KalshiRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
