a party founded by Elon Musk
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 89%
No 89%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$181.3
Open interest
$2.4K
Low open interestBid / Ask
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NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 39 minutes ago
Aug 27, 25, 8:45 PM UTCSep 1, 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If formed, who will America Party nominate for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsAmerica party candidate wins any election in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?
KalshiWhat will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAny of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:the Federal Election CommissionReutersthe Associated PressBloombergThe New York TimesThe GuardianThe Wall Street JournalBBCCNNAl JazeeraFinancial Times
- A party "contests" an election if they have at least one candidate on the official ballot under the party name, participate in a formal coalition on the ballot, or have officially endorsed candidates with clear party affiliation. The party does NOT contest if they only endorse other parties' candidates, announce a boycott, fail to meet ballot access requirements, or only challenge results after voting without having participated. For multi-round elections, appearing on any round's ballot counts. For federal systems, contesting in any state/province counts for the federal election. If the election is postponed but occurs within one year, the contract remains valid. If cancelled or not held within one year, the market resolves to No.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
