KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 1 20%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$7.5K
Medium liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 14, 26, 7:30 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?
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KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRules
If Elon Musk supports the named outcome non-incumbents who win Congressional seats in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Election CommissionUnited States House of RepresentativesUnited States SenateNew York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforEnergy Information AdministrationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCElon Musk’s X accountofficial campaign websites of candidatesBallotpedia
- Special elections between Jul 14, 2026 and election day 2026 are also included in this number.
- Special elections between Jun 4, 2025 and election day 2026 are also included in this number.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- Next French Presidential Election
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026??
- Kalshi prices At least 1 at 20% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026? resolve?
- How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.
- How is How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Elon Musk supports the named outcome non-incumbents who win Congressional seats in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.