Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
Scott Wiener 77.3%-0.1ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Scott Wiener 77.3%-0.1ptForecasters
177
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleJun 4, 24, 5:21 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolves to whoever is next elected to the office, other than Nancy Pelosi, regardless if they are ever seated.
- Includes special elections.
- Expires before the next redisticting cycle; will be resolved N/A if no one wins the seat other than Pelosi by market close time.
