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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?
Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

One-OffPoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Scott Wiener
Scott Wiener 70.1%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters

153

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jun 4, 24, 5:21 AMJan 1, 29, 7:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Bruce Lou
Bruce Lou
0.1%
Christine Pelosi
Christine Pelosi
0.3%
Jane Kim
Jane Kim
0.1%
Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win
Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win
0.1%

Selected outcome

Scott Wiener70%

Rules

Resolves to whoever is next elected to the office, other than Nancy Pelosi, regardless if they are ever seated.

Manifold Markets
  • Includes special elections.
  • Expires before the next redisticting cycle; will be resolved N/A if no one wins the seat other than Pelosi by market close time.

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Rules

Resolves to whoever is next elected to the office, other than Nancy Pelosi, regardless if they are ever seated.

Manifold Markets
  • Includes special elections.
  • Expires before the next redisticting cycle; will be resolved N/A if no one wins the seat other than Pelosi by market close time.