Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 84.4%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 9, 25, 3:03 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 6:00 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Update 2025-04-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Trading Close Time: Trading will close at 12AM CT on January 1, 2028 (equivalent to 6:00 UTC).
- Resolution Criteria:
- The market will resolve as Yes if Nancy Pelosi is alive at the close time.
- The market will resolve early as No if she is not alive at any point before the close time.
