Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Other 58.9%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
28
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleNov 5, 23, 8:05 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Who will be the next Democrat to become POTUS, after Biden? A Biden reelection does not count, since he is already president, so being reelected would just mean that he remains president, not that he becomes president.
Open markets
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
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+16 more outcomes
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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+39 more outcomes
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- Jon Ossoff17%
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+45 more outcomes
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+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be the next Democratic president??
- Manifold Markets prices Other at 59% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will be the next Democratic president? resolve?
- Who will be the next Democratic president? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.
- How is Who will be the next Democratic president? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Who will be the next Democrat to become POTUS, after Biden? A Biden reelection does not count, since he is already president, so being reelected would just mean that he remains president, not that he becomes president.