Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 67.7%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleMay 14, 26, 7:21 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
# Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom by Jan. 20, 2031?
- This market is about the “Trump ballroom” discussed on Politix: a Trump-built or Trump-initiated ballroom / large event hall on White House grounds, associated with demolition or replacement of part of the East Wing.
- The underlying question is whether, if Democrats regain the presidency in 2028, the next Democratic administration will physically act to tear down the ballroom as a political/institutional repudiation, rather than merely renovate, rename, or de-Trumpify it.
- ## Resolution
- This market resolves YES if, by 11:59 PM ET on Jan. 20, 2031, a Democratic presidential administration has begun physical demolition or removal of the above-ground Trump ballroom / event-hall structure.
- “Demolition” means either:
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 68% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029 resolve?
- Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.
- How is Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: # Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom by Jan. 20, 2031?