Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 54.9%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleOct 23, 25, 2:43 AM UTCJan 20, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?
KalshiWill the White House Ballroom really be a ballroom?
Manifold MarketsIn what month will the first event be hosted in Trump's new White House Ballroom?
Manifold MarketsFirst event in new White House ballroom?
Manifold MarketsWhat Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Trump's ballroom be completed?
KalshiRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if the White House ballroom announced on the site of the East Wing of the White House is completed by the end of Donald Trump's second term as the President of the United States.
- The ballroom will be considered complete only if both of the following occur:
- An official announcement by the White House of the project's completion and/or official opening
- Construction on the building is completed or no longer ongoing according to reports by major media -- so if the ballroom is "officially opened" while some segments of construction still being finished that will not count until the construction is finished.
- President Trump's second term will be considered to have ended on January 20, 2029, or if Trump leaves office for any reason before then due to resignation, removal, or death.
