KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 52%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
46.0% / 50.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 23, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
If the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a final merits disposition that the preliminary injunction no longer bars White House ballroom construction in National Park Service, et al. v.
Settles via:the U.S. Supreme Court
- National Trust for Historic Preservation in the United States, No. 26A203, including any merits docket arising from the same dispute before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The ruling must: Be issued by the U.S. Supreme Court in National Park Service, et al. v.
- National Trust for Historic Preservation in the United States, No. 26A203, including any merits docket arising from the same dispute Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision
- The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order Tentative rulings that are not made final Draft opinions that leak but are not officially issued Settlements or voluntary dismissals Administrative or scheduling orders Orders to show cause Minute orders that do not address the substantive issue in the specified judgment
- For clarity: If the case is dismissed for lack of jurisdiction, that counts as a ruling only if the judgment refers to jurisdiction Sua sponte rulings count if they match the specified judgment Per curiam opinions and summary orders count as rulings If multiple judges issue separate opinions, the majority or plurality opinion controls
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction??
- Kalshi prices Yes at 52% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction? resolve?
- Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.
- How is Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a final merits disposition that the preliminary injunction no longer bars White House ballroom construction in National Park Service, et al. v.