Before Jan 1, 2029
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 10:21 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 66%
No 66%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$3.2K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 23, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?
KalshiWill SCOTUS overturn Trump's $83.3 million Carroll judgment?
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KalshiWill the White House Ballroom really be a ballroom?
Manifold MarketsWhite House ballroom completed before the end of Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsIn what month will the first event be hosted in Trump's new White House Ballroom?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:the U.S. Supreme Court
- The ruling must: Be issued by the U.S. Supreme Court in National Park Service, et al. v. National Trust for Historic Preservation in the United States, No. 26A203, including any merits docket arising from the same dispute Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order Tentative rulings that are not made final Draft opinions that leak but are not officially issued Settlements or voluntary dismissals Administrative or scheduling orders Orders to show cause Minute orders that do not address the substantive issue in the specified judgment For clarity: If the case is dismissed for lack of jurisdiction, that counts as a ruling only if the judgment refers to jurisdiction Sua sponte rulings count if they match the specified judgment Per curiam opinions and summary orders count as rulings If multiple judges issue separate opinions, the majority or plurality opinion controls An emergency or administrative stay does not qualify because the specified judgment requires a final merits disposition.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
