Before 2028
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 90.5%
No 90.5%Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$193.2
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 9:30 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?
KalshiWill SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?
KalshiWill SCOTUS let USPS enforce ballot-mail rules?
KalshiWill SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?
KalshiWill the SCOTUS overturn Allison Burrough's ruling regarding Harvard's enrollment of foreign students?
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:the U.S. Supreme Court
- A ruling qualifies only if it leaves none of the February 8, 2024 judgment enforceable against Donald J. Trump. The ruling must: Be issued by the U.S. Supreme Court in Donald J. Trump v. E. Jean Carroll, No. 26-141, or United States v. E. Jean Carroll, et al., No. 26-142, including any consolidation of those petitions Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: A grant or denial of certiorari, stay, briefing order, scheduling order, or other order that does not itself overturn the full judgment A ruling on presidential immunity, Westfall Act substitution, or another procedural issue that does not require the full judgment to be vacated or set aside A partial reversal, damages reduction, modification, GVR, or remand that does not itself require the full judgment to be vacated or set aside A ruling in Carroll II, No. 25-573, or another separate Carroll proceeding Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order Tentative rulings that are not made final Draft opinions that leak but are not officially issued Settlements or voluntary dismissals Administrative or scheduling orders For clarity: A ruling in either No. 26-141 or No. 26-142 counts if it matches the specified judgment Per curiam opinions and summary orders count if they match the specified judgment If multiple justices issue separate opinions, the majority or plurality opinion controls
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
