KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 2:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before Jan 1, 2030 · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Before Jan 1, 2030 80%Leader of 5 outcomes
Before Jan 1, 2030 80%Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$14.5K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2030Spread
—
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 29, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 1, 2030
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
White House ballroom completed before the end of Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsIs Trump's ballroom project an underground data center?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in October?
PolymarketWhich party will win the House in 2026?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRules
If the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Wall Street JournalCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCThe GuardianSouth China Morning PostCBCABCBBCThe Washington PostThe VergeABC News Australia
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2030
- If the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.