Who will be in the first 2028 Republican Party presidential debate?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 3:24 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
JD Vance 75.4%Leader of 7 outcomes
JD Vance 75.4%Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleNov 10, 24, 10:29 AM UTCAug 10, 28, 1:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES to everyone who is in the first Republican primary debate and NO to everyone else.
- If there are two first debates resolves to everyone in both debates.
- If there are no debates, resolves as the Republican nominee.
