Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Pennsylvania's 2nd District?
0.1 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-Off2026 US MidtermsUS PoliticsElection2d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastDemocratic Party — Brendan Boyle 98.9%+0.1ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.9 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 6, 26, 6:15 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Brendan Boyle win the Pennsylvania 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Jessica Arriaga win the Pennsylvania 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Pennsylvania's 13th District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Pennsylvania's 11th District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Pennsylvania's 3rd District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Pennsylvania's 5th District?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
