Which new Senators will vote as left wing as Elizabeth Warren in 2027?
4.3 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:28 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastAbdul El Sayed 84.3%+4.3ptLeader of 15 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+4.3 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleOct 25, 26, 4:25 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves N/A if the person isnt elected in 2026.
- For reference, in the current Congress, only Bernie Sanders, Jeff Merkley and Ed Markey have a more left wing voting record than Warren this Congress, according to the tracker this market resolves on
- Each senator will resolve YES if they have a left wing voting record score EQUAL or HIGHER than Elizabeth Warrens score for the 120th Congress at the end of 2027.
- All values used will be the voting record of 2027, Warrens 2025/2026 score isn’t used here.
- Resolves based on the Congressional Democrat Left Tracker.
- It will resolve on votes from the 120th Congress, which starts January 3 2027.
