Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection4yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 50%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleSep 2, 26, 11:00 AM UTCNov 5, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Senator Elizabeth Warren officially seeks reelection to the United States Senate from Massachusetts for the term beginning in January 2031 (the 2030 election cycle).
- "Seeking reelection" is defined as meeting at least one of the following conditions:
- She makes a formal, public announcement declaring her candidacy for reelection in the 2030 cycle.
- She officially files nomination papers with the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth to qualify for the 2030 Senate ballot (primary or general) and does not withdraw prior to the finalization of the ballot.
- The market will resolve to NO if:
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 50% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate? resolve?
- Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate? is scheduled to resolve on November 5, 2030.
- How is Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria