Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 66.3%
Forecasters
85
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jun 20, 23, 8:10 PM UTCJan 5, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolve yes if the next president of France be from a left-wing party.
- Resolve N/A if there is a general disagreement about him/her being left-wing or not.
- Resolve no otherwise.
- Update 2026-07-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a candidate wins whose left-wing status is disputed (e.g. PS), and bettors disagree on the resolution, the market will resolve N/A.