When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict? [METACULUS]
Geopolitics3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastBy 2030-01-01 73.4%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 19 hours ago
StaleOct 11, 25, 5:04 PM UTCJan 30, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will the Wikipedia article for the Russo-Ukrainian conflict say was the victor one year after ceasefire/peace?
Manifold MarketsWill the US extradite anyone to Russia as part of the peace agreement with Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsBy the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea?
Manifold MarketsRussia-Ukraine ceasefire or peace deal to be reached by the end of 2026?
FutuurUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRules
Resolves according to this Metaculus question:
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/18546)If that question is unavailable, I'll do my best to resolve in the same spirit.
- Individual questions may resolve some time after the date passes, depending on conditions and my judgment; sometimes Metaculus resolves to dates in the past and I don't want to have a re-resolution situation.