[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for [ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027??

Manifold Markets prices No at 92.9% as of October 31, 2026.

When does [ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027? resolve?

[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is [ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41138)Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.

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POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 28+0.9pt100%
• October 31+5.4pt99%
• November 2+3.4pt94%

+19 more outcomes

Total Vol

$31.6M

24h Vol

$694K

POLYMARKET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 29100%
• October 30+0.4pt100%
• October 31+4.0pt100%

+39 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

• March 31+4.0pt67%
• December 31-1.2pt42%
• November 3031%

+22 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?

• December 31-3.0pt7%
• October 31-0.3pt0%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$77.1M

24h Vol

$190.8K

POLYMARKET

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

• No-1.0pt88.1%
• Yes+1.0pt11.9%

Total Vol

$16.1M

24h Vol

$146.7K

POLYMARKET

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

• No94.1%
• Yes5.9%

Total Vol

$28.8M

24h Vol

$129.8K

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