Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2029 21.3%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
24
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleOct 29, 23, 12:33 AM UTCJan 5, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Each year resolves:
- YES if the USA and China were at war at any point in that year.
- NO at the end of that year otherwise.
- I won't bet.