Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2026 Q3-Q4 99%+11.3ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+11.3 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleMar 19, 25, 4:52 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Clarifications:
- * At time of writing (2025 March), Avengers Doomsday is scheduled for 2026 May 1.
- * TV shows do not count wrt this question. * If Avengers Doomsday is delayed or reworked & a different similar film is released first, that counts.
- * Such a film must be titled 'Avengers' or be about Avengers characters.
- For example, Captain America Civil War would have counted.
- * Specifically, 4+ of its main characters must be heroic main characters from previous Avengers films.
