Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 16, 2026, 3:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastAnother Netanyahu Cabinet 32.6%+7.0%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 days ago
StaleJul 13, 26, 3:40 PMOct 28, 26, 6:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Another Netanyahu Cabinet33%
Volume trend
$105Jul 134d of dataJul 16
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Statements made by primary opposition leaders Naftali Bennett and Gadi Eisenkot indicate desire to not form a government with Arab parties like the leftist Hadash-Ta’al bloc or the Islamist Ra’am.
- As a result, there could be a Knesset where neither Likud and their allies nor the primary opposition parties could form a majority as was the case after the 2019 elections.