Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 2:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Likud win the next Israeli election
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the results of Israel's next election?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketNetanyahu out by which date?
PolymarketWho will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?
KalshiRules
Statements made by primary opposition leaders Naftali Bennett and Gadi Eisenkot indicate desire to not form a government with Arab parties like the leftist Hadash-Ta’al bloc or the Islamist Ra’am.
- As a result, there could be a Knesset where neither Likud and their allies nor the primary opposition parties could form a majority as was the case after the 2019 elections.