Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastHung Knesset (non-Arab) -Opposition plurality 32.6%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJul 13, 26, 3:40 PM UTCOct 28, 26, 6:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Statements made by primary opposition leaders Naftali Bennett and Gadi Eisenkot indicate desire to not form a government with Arab parties like the leftist Hadash-Ta’al bloc or the Islamist Ra’am.
- As a result, there could be a Knesset where neither Likud and their allies nor the primary opposition parties could form a majority as was the case after the 2019 elections.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will the results of the next Israeli election be??
- Manifold Markets prices Hung Knesset (non-Arab) -Opposition plurality at 33% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does What will the results of the next Israeli election be? resolve?
- What will the results of the next Israeli election be? is scheduled to resolve on October 28, 2026.
- How is What will the results of the next Israeli election be? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Statements made by primary opposition leaders Naftali Bennett and Gadi Eisenkot indicate desire to not form a government with Arab parties like the leftist Hadash-Ta’al bloc or the Islamist Ra’am.